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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.42+3.75vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.89+4.46vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.96vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+1.01vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.07+4.69vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles-0.06+7.81vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.63+3.38vs Predicted
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9University of British Columbia0.90+1.33vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.56+1.90vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.74+0.13vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.21-6.49vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.31+0.22vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Cruz0.20-0.62vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-0.30+0.15vs Predicted
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16University of California at Irvine0.08-2.23vs Predicted
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17University of California at Berkeley1.48-9.08vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.19-3.05vs Predicted
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19California State University Monterey Bay0.56-7.18vs Predicted
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20California State University Monterey Bay0.56-8.18vs Predicted
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21Santa Clara University0.21-7.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75University of Hawaii2.420.1%1st Place
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6.46University of California at Berkeley1.890.1%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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9.69University of Washington1.070.0%1st Place
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9.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Los Angeles-0.060.0%1st Place
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11.38University of Hawaii0.630.0%1st Place
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10.33University of British Columbia0.900.0%1st Place
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11.9University of Washington0.560.0%1st Place
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11.13University of Victoria0.740.0%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Santa Barbara2.210.1%1st Place
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13.22University of California at San Diego0.310.0%1st Place
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13.38University of California at Santa Cruz0.200.0%1st Place
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15.15University of California at Davis-0.300.0%1st Place
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13.77University of California at Irvine0.080.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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14.95Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.190.0%1st Place
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11.82California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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11.82California State University Monterey Bay0.560.0%1st Place
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13.47Santa Clara University0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soren Wilde | 14.9% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henrik Bey | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 14.5% | 14.4% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Clara Jones | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Miles Picus | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Johnson | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Elmeri Hakkinen | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bartels | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Kia Meiklejohn | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Schiff | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brett Farrell | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Brocchini | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leung | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 0.0% |
| Philip Tagatac | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Belle Lemoine | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Schmidt | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Robbie Culkin | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.