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📊 Prediction Accuracy
68.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+1.69vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.09+4.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.44-0.08vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.15vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30+4.54vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.39+0.71vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.93-1.67vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+1.27vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.27vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis-0.43-1.15vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-5.51vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.29-1.20vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-5.13vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.57-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.69University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.3%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.92University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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10.54University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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8.71University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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11.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.27California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.85University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.290.0%1st Place
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9.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.15Santa Clara University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 29.0% | 25.7% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 27.6% | 23.8% | 19.9% | 14.9% | 7.6% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 13.0% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 17.9% | 14.4% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.3% | 14.7% | 18.3% | 16.2% | 16.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 15.9% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.3% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brenyn Bierbaum | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 12.6% | 25.5% | 31.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Barone | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 42.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.