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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+2.89vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.14-0.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.20vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+6.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.09+0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.39+1.68vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.93-1.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.64-1.85vs Predicted
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11University of California at Davis-0.43-0.16vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-0.88vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30-2.30vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.29-1.18vs Predicted
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15Santa Clara University-1.57-1.80vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-6.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.2%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.3%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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11.12California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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8.68University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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7.3University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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10.84University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.12California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.2Santa Clara University-1.570.0%1st Place
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9.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristram Craig | 15.4% | 12.8% | 18.2% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 27.0% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 14.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Dana | 27.3% | 24.0% | 20.5% | 14.7% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.1% | 18.3% | 14.4% | 17.7% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.0% | 7.5% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 19.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| Brenyn Bierbaum | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 12.9% | 24.1% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Barone | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 21.7% | 41.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 7.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.