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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.14+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+0.90vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.64+3.08vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93+1.35vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+4.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.39+0.70vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.71vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.29+2.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.03vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30-1.38vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis-0.43-1.98vs Predicted
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14California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-2.95vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-5.09vs Predicted
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16Santa Clara University-1.57-2.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.3%1st Place
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2.75University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.9University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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7.35University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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11.05California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.7University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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7.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.73Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.290.0%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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10.62University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.02University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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11.05California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.91Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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13.12Santa Clara University-1.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dana | 29.1% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 14.4% | 7.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 28.2% | 24.5% | 19.4% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 13.0% | 15.0% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.2% | 16.8% | 15.9% | 17.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 14.1% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brenyn Bierbaum | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 14.2% | 22.7% | 30.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 11.0% | 5.3% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.2% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 15.9% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Barone | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.