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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+2.76vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+0.73vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.14-1.28vs Predicted
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5California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+6.14vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria0.93+1.33vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.64+1.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30+2.52vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.43+1.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.39-1.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley1.09-4.04vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.51vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.29-0.18vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.57-0.81vs Predicted
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15California State University Monterey Bay-0.57-3.86vs Predicted
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16Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.76University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.2%1st Place
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2.73University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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2.72University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.3%1st Place
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11.14California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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10.52University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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10.83University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
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8.81University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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7.49Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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12.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.19Santa Clara University-1.570.0%1st Place
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11.14California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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9.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobi Allen | 16.4% | 14.4% | 18.2% | 16.7% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 26.7% | 25.7% | 20.2% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 13.6% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 19.2% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Dana | 27.7% | 23.5% | 21.1% | 13.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 15.8% | 14.2% | 6.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brenyn Bierbaum | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 24.0% | 31.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Barone | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 20.0% | 42.9% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 9.4% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.