Race 2A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 23.8% 20.1% 16.8% 14.1% 10.9% 7.5% 4.0% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 16.2% 17.8% 17.3% 15.5% 14.0% 10.0% 6.1% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Mary Cummins 4.6% 4.3% 6.1% 6.9% 7.5% 12.9% 17.3% 17.2% 14.8% 8.4%
Marlena Fauer 25.5% 21.7% 18.1% 15.1% 10.5% 5.3% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 6.0% 6.3% 7.5% 9.4% 10.2% 13.4% 15.6% 15.5% 12.1% 4.0%
Caroline Wilhelm 9.4% 10.2% 11.5% 13.2% 15.9% 12.6% 14.3% 8.8% 2.8% 1.3%
Marissa Lihan 9.3% 12.6% 13.2% 14.1% 15.8% 15.1% 9.2% 7.4% 2.6% 0.7%
Heather Richardson 1.6% 2.3% 3.2% 4.6% 3.9% 8.4% 9.7% 16.8% 23.8% 25.7%
Julie Webster 1.3% 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 3.4% 4.3% 8.2% 11.0% 20.1% 46.4%
Hillary Paulsen 2.3% 3.4% 4.9% 4.5% 7.9% 10.5% 12.8% 18.1% 22.2% 13.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.