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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.09+1.84vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.44+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.09+3.84vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.14-1.30vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-2.17vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.93+0.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.39+0.73vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.30+1.49vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+1.19vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.57+0.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley0.64-3.84vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.29-0.14vs Predicted
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14Santa Clara University-1.57-0.68vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.06-5.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-0.43-5.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Santa Barbara2.440.1%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley1.090.0%1st Place
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2.7University of California at Santa Barbara3.140.3%1st Place
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7.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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3.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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8.73University of California at San Diego0.390.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.19California State University Monterey Bay-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Berkeley0.640.0%1st Place
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12.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.290.0%1st Place
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13.32Santa Clara University-1.570.0%1st Place
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9.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.060.0%1st Place
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10.75University of California at Davis-0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neil Stapleton | 25.6% | 25.8% | 17.9% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tristram Craig | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.0% | 17.7% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Witte | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Dana | 29.4% | 22.1% | 19.6% | 15.5% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.7% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 15.1% | 11.4% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rohrbach | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Annarose Leff | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Levi Matsushima | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 16.9% | 17.4% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Todosiev | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brenyn Bierbaum | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 25.6% | 29.9% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Barone | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 19.7% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Rinker | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alana McSween | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.