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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+3.83vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+5.22vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley1.02+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.84-0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.45+3.86vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.37vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.41+1.73vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-0.23-0.59vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.28-1.52vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.31-2.64vs Predicted
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12California State University Monterey Bay-0.28-3.52vs Predicted
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13Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-3.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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7.22Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.3%1st Place
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8.86University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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3.63University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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8.73University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.41University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.310.0%1st Place
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8.48California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.69University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Leddy | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 11.6% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 25.4% | 22.0% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 19.8% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Ziegler | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.