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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara1.07+3.80vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+5.24vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.45+6.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+4.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.02-0.17vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.57-2.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Davis-0.23+1.23vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.41+0.78vs Predicted
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9California State University Monterey Bay-0.28-0.43vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay-0.28-1.43vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.31-2.48vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-6.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.84-10.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
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7.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.1%1st Place
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9.09University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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3.64University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.57California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.57California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.52Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.310.0%1st Place
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9.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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6.71University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Leddy | 10.8% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 11.3% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 20.4% | 18.6% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Ziegler | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 19.6% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 25.1% | 21.5% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.