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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley1.57+2.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.02+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.84+0.07vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.18+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+1.35vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+1.71vs Predicted
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7California State University Monterey Bay-0.28+1.13vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.68+1.27vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.42+1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Davis-0.23-1.90vs Predicted
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11California State University Monterey Bay-0.28-2.87vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.41-3.59vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.45-4.11vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.07-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.58University of California at Berkeley1.570.2%1st Place
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4.8University of California at Berkeley1.020.1%1st Place
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3.07University of California at Santa Barbara1.840.3%1st Place
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7.03Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.180.0%1st Place
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6.35University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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7.71University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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8.13California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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9.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.680.0%1st Place
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10.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.420.0%1st Place
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8.1University of California at Davis-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.13California State University Monterey Bay-0.280.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Victoria-0.410.0%1st Place
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8.89University of California at San Diego-0.450.0%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Barbara1.070.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolai Sponholtz | 20.3% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Fargo | 10.8% | 13.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Weitz | 28.4% | 18.3% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Geoffrey Brelsford | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Dallas Butler | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 13.9% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Blumenberg | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 45.7% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Sara | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 0.0% |
| Liam Morris | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Bishop | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Casey Bowers-Loeffler | 1.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Leddy | 10.7% | 13.3% | 13.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.