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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.76vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+7.40vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.12vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.79+4.26vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+5.91vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+9.42vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.74+1.50vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University2.38+6.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.49+0.33vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.05+1.40vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97+0.85vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.78vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.36-7.29vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.47-4.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.36vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.14vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-5.58vs Predicted
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18Old Dominion University3.82-10.03vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.4University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.26Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.91Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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15.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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8.5Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.31Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.33George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.4SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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11.85Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.22College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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5.71Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.72Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.86U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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11.42University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.97Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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13.2Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 39.3% |
| Will La Dow | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 16.2% | 22.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Nick Valente | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 5.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.0% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.