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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.74+2.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.08+0.62vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.51+0.72vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University-0.39+1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.90-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.11-1.82vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Stanford University2.1948.9%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Berkeley0.748.5%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.0813.8%1st Place
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4.72University of Hawaii0.516.6%1st Place
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6.69Arizona State University-0.392.5%1st Place
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3.66University of Southern California0.9011.9%1st Place
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5.18University of Washington0.115.2%1st Place
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6.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.2%1st Place
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8.18University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 48.9% | 28.0% | 14.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 18.1% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 13.8% | 17.0% | 19.1% | 17.9% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Martha Schuessler | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 14.4% | 6.3% | 1.1% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 21.5% | 29.7% | 14.3% |
| Morgana Manti | 11.9% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 10.1% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 18.9% | 17.8% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 20.0% | 31.9% | 16.3% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 15.9% | 65.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.