Race 3A

finger-lakes-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 24.5% 20.1% 17.7% 12.8% 9.7% 8.7% 4.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Marissa Lihan 10.8% 10.1% 14.5% 12.8% 16.4% 12.7% 11.6% 7.5% 2.7% 0.9%
Marlena Fauer 24.1% 23.2% 16.8% 15.2% 10.7% 5.8% 3.0% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Wilhelm 8.6% 10.3% 11.6% 14.5% 16.7% 13.6% 11.4% 8.8% 3.5% 1.0%
Morgan Wilson 16.7% 19.7% 16.5% 17.5% 11.4% 8.7% 5.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.1%
Ryann Hall 6.0% 6.5% 6.4% 8.7% 9.8% 15.2% 16.2% 14.4% 11.6% 5.2%
Hillary Paulsen 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 5.8% 6.7% 10.7% 14.8% 20.8% 19.6% 12.7%
Heather Richardson 1.9% 1.7% 3.6% 4.1% 5.0% 7.3% 9.9% 14.2% 25.6% 26.7%
Mary Cummins 3.8% 4.7% 7.0% 5.7% 10.5% 12.7% 16.0% 16.6% 16.0% 7.0%
Julie Webster 1.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 3.1% 4.6% 7.1% 12.3% 19.4% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.