← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.72vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.65+6.91vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University4.36+3.03vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin3.04+7.48vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.82+3.32vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+9.40vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University3.47+2.67vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.79+0.51vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.54+4.31vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.37vs Predicted
-
11Stanford University3.74-2.57vs Predicted
-
12University of Pennsylvania3.51-2.20vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.97-1.36vs Predicted
-
14Jacksonville University2.38+0.33vs Predicted
-
15Fordham University3.25-4.50vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.13vs Predicted
-
17George Washington University3.49-7.49vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College3.05-6.65vs Predicted
-
19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-12.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
8.91College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.03Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
11.48University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
-
8.32Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
15.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
9.67Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
8.51Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
-
13.31Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
-
8.63U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.43Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
9.8University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
-
11.64Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
-
14.33Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.5Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
-
9.51George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
-
11.35SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 39.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Will La Dow | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 20.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Nick Valente | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.