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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.79+7.24vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.79vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.74+5.58vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+10.18vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.32vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.65+2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.45vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.49+1.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.43vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University4.36-4.22vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.43vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.74vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin3.04-1.69vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.82vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.70vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-2.54vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.40vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.47-8.51vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.97-7.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.24Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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14.18Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.71College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.45University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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5.78Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.57Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.26Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.3SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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13.46Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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15.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.49Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.38Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 0.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 18.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Valente | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 41.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.