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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.65+7.84vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+8.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.79vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.68vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+7.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.00vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-1.08vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin3.04+2.29vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-1.69vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-1.42vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.14vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-2.63vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.82-5.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+0.49vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania3.51-6.73vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.54-3.53vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-8.57vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.38-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.84College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.79U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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5.92Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.5Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.31Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.58Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.86SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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10.37Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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15.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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13.47Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.43George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.78Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Reynolds | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Will La Dow | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Nick Valente | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 39.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.