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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin3.04+10.55vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania3.51+7.49vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.99vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.65+4.84vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+7.15vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.97vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.76vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.54+5.69vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-1.08vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.25+0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.31vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.79-3.42vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.05-1.80vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.74-5.49vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-1.04vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-6.58vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.47-7.44vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.34vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.55University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.84College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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12.15Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.69Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.58Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.2SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.96Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.56Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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15.66Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.56U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Wefer | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.1% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 6.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 11.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 17.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 20.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 34.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.