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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.04vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.99vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.25+7.71vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin3.04+7.56vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+4.08vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.92vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.05+4.51vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.74+0.71vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.79-0.99vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.65vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.36vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.82-3.63vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.47-3.71vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.20vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.49-5.61vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-2.56vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-2.92vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.97-6.29vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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5.99Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.71Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.56University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.08College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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6.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.51SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.01Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.64U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.37Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.44Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.08Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.71Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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15.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% |
| Laura Wefer | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.7% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 13.8% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 16.9% | 21.2% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 35.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.