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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+7.14vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+7.63vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.79+5.38vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+4.76vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+3.01vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.47+3.52vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-1.13vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+2.82vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.81vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.74-1.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+4.80vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.72vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.65-4.43vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.51-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-3.68vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-2.49vs Predicted
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17Jacksonville University2.38-2.91vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.97-6.32vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.05-8.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.63George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.38Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.52Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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5.87Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.32Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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15.8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.28Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.57College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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13.51Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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14.09Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.68Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.0SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.9% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Will La Dow | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 15.3% | 38.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jake Reynolds | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 5.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 13.5% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.0% | 20.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.0% | 1.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.6% |
| Nick Valente | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.