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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+9.08vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.79+6.30vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.85vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+1.86vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.65+4.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97+5.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.85vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.05+3.68vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47+0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.63vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.41vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-4.80vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.74-4.84vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin3.04-2.40vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-6.99vs Predicted
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16George Washington University3.49-6.61vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-1.41vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.54-4.51vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.38-5.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.3Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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5.86Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.11College of Charleston3.650.0%1st Place
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11.62Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.68SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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10.59Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.16Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.01Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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15.59Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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13.49Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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13.81Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.4% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jake Reynolds | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Will La Dow | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 13.8% | 39.2% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 15.7% | 12.6% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.