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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.25+9.59vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+7.56vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+4.03vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania3.51+5.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.10vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.28vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.90vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.98vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.46vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.15vs Predicted
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11Tufts University3.47-1.50vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.97+0.18vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.54+0.29vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-5.67vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.82-6.98vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.38-1.84vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.74-8.58vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.23vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.59Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.56George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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6.1Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.9College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.5Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.18Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.29Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.33Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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8.02Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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14.16Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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15.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.6% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 5.8% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 13.0% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 18.3% |
| Will La Dow | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 38.7% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.