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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.83+2.97vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California1.40+2.36vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.44+0.06vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+0.75vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-0.95vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.31-0.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.01vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35-1.53vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.97University of Washington1.8315.2%1st Place
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4.36University of Southern California1.4012.2%1st Place
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3.06Stanford University2.4424.8%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Santa Barbara1.679.0%1st Place
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4.05California Poly Maritime Academy1.9216.5%1st Place
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5.06University of Hawaii1.318.4%1st Place
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4.99University of California at Berkeley0.988.3%1st Place
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6.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.3%1st Place
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8.29University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Benjamin Stone | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
Luke Harris | 12.2% | 11.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 1.1% |
Chapman Petersen | 24.8% | 22.4% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Henry Boeger | 9.0% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
Nicholas Mueller | 16.5% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
Everett McAvoy | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 3.7% |
Will Cornell | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 3.0% |
Robert Bloomfield | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 32.4% | 15.8% |
Conrad Kistler | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 13.2% | 72.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.