Race 4A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marlena Fauer 27.2% 21.8% 18.4% 12.1% 8.0% 7.5% 3.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Caroline Patten 21.8% 20.7% 17.5% 14.8% 12.0% 6.8% 4.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 17.9% 15.4% 17.8% 16.3% 13.8% 9.8% 6.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
Marissa Lihan 8.6% 13.1% 13.6% 14.7% 15.3% 13.0% 11.0% 7.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Caroline Wilhelm 9.9% 10.4% 9.8% 13.9% 15.2% 15.8% 12.6% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2%
Heather Richardson 2.4% 3.0% 2.8% 3.4% 4.8% 5.2% 12.0% 15.5% 24.8% 26.1%
Julie Webster 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 2.7% 5.4% 7.0% 11.5% 21.3% 46.1%
Hillary Paulsen 3.0% 3.4% 4.8% 5.4% 7.8% 10.7% 12.6% 17.1% 21.8% 13.4%
Ryann Hall 4.5% 6.2% 7.8% 8.7% 11.5% 14.3% 14.6% 17.0% 11.5% 3.9%
Mary Cummins 3.7% 5.0% 6.1% 8.1% 8.9% 11.5% 16.7% 18.8% 12.6% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.