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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+8.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.08vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.74+4.42vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.19vs Predicted
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6Jacksonville University2.38+7.89vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.89vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania3.51+1.66vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-1.43vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.97+1.73vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.25-0.45vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.05-0.21vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.67-4.56vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.79-5.69vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University4.36-9.10vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.54-2.49vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.47-7.38vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-2.23vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin3.04-7.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.08U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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8.42Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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13.89Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.89College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.55Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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11.79SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.31Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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5.9Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.51Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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15.77Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Will La Dow | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 20.4% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Nick Valente | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nevin Snow | 14.6% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Connor Kelter | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 14.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 15.1% | 37.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.