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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.94vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+6.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.65+5.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.47+5.64vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.25vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.05+5.28vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.51+2.44vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.79+0.41vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+1.38vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38+4.08vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.96vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.49-2.18vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-5.60vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-0.28vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-3.69vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.09vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.67-8.30vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.97-6.23vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.94Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.51Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.95College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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9.64Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.41Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.38Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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14.08Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.0%1st Place
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9.82George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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13.72Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.31University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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7.91Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.77Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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15.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 12.1% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Will La Dow | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nick Valente | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.9% | 18.8% |
| Charles Lomax | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.9% | 15.5% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.