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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+6.75vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.74+6.54vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania3.51+6.55vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.03vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.79+3.45vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.25+4.48vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-1.02vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+7.78vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47+0.43vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University2.38+4.03vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.27vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.65-2.79vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.97-1.37vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.54-0.29vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.05-3.72vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.03vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin3.04-5.53vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-8.61vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-9.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.54Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Pennsylvania3.510.0%1st Place
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7.03Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.48Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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5.98Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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15.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.03Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.21College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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13.71Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
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11.28SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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7.97Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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11.47University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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9.39George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Will La Dow | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 16.3% | 39.8% |
| Scott Barbano | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 16.9% | 17.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Jake Reynolds | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.9% |
| Nick Valente | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.8% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.