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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.05+10.40vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+6.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+3.00vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University2.38+10.13vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.22vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.67vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.65+1.86vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25+2.84vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.76vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania3.51-0.63vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-2.60vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.47-2.03vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.50vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91-6.12vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin3.04-3.69vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.79-7.89vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University2.97-5.20vs Predicted
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18George Washington University3.49-8.58vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.54-5.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.4SUNY Maritime College3.050.0%1st Place
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8.15Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.0Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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14.13Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.86College of Charleston3.650.1%1st Place
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10.84Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania3.510.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.97Tufts University3.470.0%1st Place
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15.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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7.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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11.31University of Wisconsin3.040.0%1st Place
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8.11Harvard University3.790.1%1st Place
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11.8Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University3.490.0%1st Place
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13.2Cornell University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Valente | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Daniel Lawless | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 18.8% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Jake Reynolds | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% |
| Maximiliano Agnese | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Will La Dow | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Scott Barbano | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 38.3% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Laura Wefer | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% |
| Andrew Mollerus | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Connor Kelter | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.