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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+7.17vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+12.66vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.73+4.18vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+3.69vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+2.57vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+1.50vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.49+1.13vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.17vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.16vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.83vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.05vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62+0.19vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.53vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.08+0.12vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.41-6.71vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.16-6.65vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-9.46vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy3.44-9.89vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.38-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.17Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.66Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.13Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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13.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.17Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.05University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.19Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.53SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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14.12University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.35Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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12.42Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 16.4% | 25.9% |
| Ryan Davidson | 10.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Augie Dale | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Lily Katz | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| John Rolander | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 14.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| John Lawless | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 15.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 17.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.