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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.66vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.69vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.49+5.15vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+5.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.26vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+2.31vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.45vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88+6.76vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.62+2.66vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+0.98vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.70vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University3.67-4.43vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.43-4.91vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University3.47-5.73vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.63-7.53vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.26vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-3.17vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.73-11.01vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.15Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.52Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.31George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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14.76Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.66Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.57Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.27Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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12.74Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.83University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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6.99College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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13.32SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 3.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.3% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 27.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.9% |
| Michael Popp | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Sean Golden | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lily Katz | 7.9% | 10.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.8% | 17.7% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.