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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.43+7.41vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+6.23vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.41+5.52vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.89+2.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.28vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+2.65vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.63-0.22vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.47vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.62+1.76vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.08+2.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.72vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.02vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University1.88+0.81vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.45vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-8.38vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.93vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.38-5.28vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University3.67-12.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.23Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.52George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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11.28U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.78Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.76Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.98University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.72Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.81Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.55SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.72Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.89Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marek Zaleski | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Sean Golden | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Charles Rees | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% |
| John Rolander | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Lily Katz | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 17.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 24.5% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 17.4% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% |
| Augie Dale | 10.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.