Race 5A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 23.5% 20.5% 18.4% 12.4% 11.4% 7.4% 3.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Marlena Fauer 24.5% 23.1% 17.7% 14.7% 9.4% 5.8% 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Morgan Wilson 17.2% 17.2% 17.4% 14.7% 15.1% 10.2% 4.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
Caroline Wilhelm 8.2% 11.0% 12.0% 14.5% 14.6% 14.6% 11.6% 8.3% 4.3% 0.9%
Marissa Lihan 11.0% 11.5% 12.6% 16.2% 14.3% 14.9% 10.1% 5.7% 2.5% 1.2%
Ryann Hall 6.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.4% 10.5% 15.3% 15.5% 14.9% 12.5% 4.5%
Hillary Paulsen 2.2% 3.0% 3.5% 5.9% 7.1% 9.5% 15.5% 18.4% 21.4% 13.5%
Mary Cummins 4.2% 4.8% 6.2% 7.2% 10.3% 10.8% 16.0% 19.4% 13.4% 7.7%
Heather Richardson 1.9% 1.8% 3.4% 3.8% 3.8% 6.9% 12.9% 13.7% 26.2% 25.6%
Julie Webster 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 3.2% 3.5% 4.6% 6.5% 13.5% 18.5% 46.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.