Race 2A

pccsc-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Sophie Fisher 46.2% 28.3% 14.3% 7.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Olsen 9.8% 12.4% 14.3% 15.8% 17.9% 17.2% 8.6% 3.4% 0.5%
Evelyn Engebretson 13.6% 17.2% 20.2% 17.8% 15.1% 9.3% 5.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Martha Schuessler 6.7% 10.7% 12.6% 15.8% 16.4% 18.6% 12.3% 5.8% 1.2%
Sammy Farkas 5.1% 7.7% 9.4% 12.6% 15.7% 18.4% 18.3% 10.5% 2.1%
Sadie Hoberman 2.1% 3.3% 4.0% 5.2% 7.3% 10.7% 21.9% 30.6% 14.8%
Micaela Jorcino 1.8% 3.2% 3.6% 5.1% 7.1% 11.2% 21.4% 32.5% 14.1%
Morgana Manti 14.2% 16.0% 20.5% 17.9% 15.6% 9.6% 5.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Alexandra Toaxen 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.6% 4.2% 7.0% 15.1% 66.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.