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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+6.41vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+5.72vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+5.44vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+4.16vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University2.15+9.05vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.16+3.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.10vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.73-0.64vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38+3.59vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-2.00vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.63-3.48vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.08+2.36vs Predicted
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13George Washington University3.41-4.89vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-0.43vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.83vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.89vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.27vs Predicted
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19Roger Williams University2.62-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.16Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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14.05Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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12.59Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.0Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.52Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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14.36University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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13.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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8.17U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.46Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 7.0% | 10.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Golden | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Steo | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 18.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Ryan Davidson | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% |
| John Rolander | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Lily Katz | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 20.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 14.0% |
| Charles Miller | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Popp | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| John Lawless | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 17.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.