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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+6.42vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.43+6.45vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.59vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+4.44vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.63+2.80vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.04vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32+6.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+4.05vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.17+0.35vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38+2.86vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.89vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.47-3.48vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-5.52vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.20vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.15-1.38vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.96vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.57vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.16-8.56vs Predicted
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19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-8.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.45Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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6.59College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.44George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.8Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.23Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.05Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.89SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.52Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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7.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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13.62Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.44Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Rees | 10.3% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lily Katz | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Kate Klement | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 19.2% |
| Sean Golden | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Miller | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Peter Steo | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 14.2% | 19.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.