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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+7.25vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.62+9.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+3.34vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+2.93vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.09vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+5.94vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+3.23vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80+2.02vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+3.42vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University2.15+2.77vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-3.22vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.63-5.72vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-4.31vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.17-6.64vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.43-8.64vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.32-4.86vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-11.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.93Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.34Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.94Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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11.23U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.42Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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13.77Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.28Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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9.69Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.62SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.36U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.14Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Charles Rees | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 11.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 15.0% |
| Peter Steo | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 18.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Lily Katz | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| John Lawless | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 13.6% | 19.6% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Kate Klement | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 12.8% |
| Charles Miller | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.