← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.47+7.23vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University2.15+11.81vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.67+4.44vs Predicted
-
4Fordham University3.16+5.62vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.43+3.67vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+4.96vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.32+6.18vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.62+4.13vs Predicted
-
9Stanford University3.63-1.62vs Predicted
-
10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-2.43vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.34vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.12vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University3.41-4.78vs Predicted
-
14SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.03vs Predicted
-
15College of Charleston3.89-8.59vs Predicted
-
16Cornell University2.38-3.22vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-3.59vs Predicted
-
18Tufts University3.49-10.03vs Predicted
-
19University of Pennsylvania2.80-8.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.23Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
13.81Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
-
7.44Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
9.62Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
-
8.67Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.18Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
-
12.13Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.38Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
9.88U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
8.22George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
13.97SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
6.41College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
12.78Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
13.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.97Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
10.72University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Peter Steo | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 13.6% | 19.4% |
| Augie Dale | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Kate Klement | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% |
| Lily Katz | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Charles Miller | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.4% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.1% |
| Charles Rees | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 16.1% |
| John Rolander | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.