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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.73+6.14vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.62+9.86vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+5.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+3.50vs Predicted
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5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.35vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.62vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-0.40vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-0.76vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.43-1.73vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+2.44vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-2.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-5.16vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.32-2.07vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University1.88-1.30vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.32vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-10.44vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.38-6.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.14College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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11.86Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.31Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.5Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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11.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.62St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.6Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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9.97Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.84Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.93Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.7Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.68SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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7.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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12.44Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 7.0% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% |
| Sean Golden | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% |
| Lily Katz | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Augie Dale | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 14.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| John Rolander | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.2% |
| Kate Klement | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 13.7% | 25.5% |
| John Lawless | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| Charles Miller | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.