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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+6.53vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.73+5.18vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.67+4.43vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+3.66vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+3.36vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.05vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+0.72vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88+6.88vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.44-0.85vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.62+1.81vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-2.61vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.61vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-0.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.43-5.52vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-5.55vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.57vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.80-5.98vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.27vs Predicted
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19Cornell University2.38-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.53Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
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7.43Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.66St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.36Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.05Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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14.88Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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11.81Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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11.39U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.48Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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9.45Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.47Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Davidson | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Augie Dale | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 6.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| John Rolander | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Charles Miller | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 30.6% |
| Michael Popp | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Kai Friesecke | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.3% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 16.4% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.