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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+7.23vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.32+11.18vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.43+5.46vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+4.47vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+4.89vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.63+1.56vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+0.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.63vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.19vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.89-3.61vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-3.42vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.62-2.00vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.49-6.96vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.20vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-9.28vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University1.88-3.23vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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13.18Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.46Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.89Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.56Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.35Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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13.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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6.39College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.0Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.8Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.72Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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14.77Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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13.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Kate Klement | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Lily Katz | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Augie Dale | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 13.9% |
| Charles Rees | 9.5% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.6% |
| John Rolander | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 13.7% | 27.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.