Race 6A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 24.6% 19.6% 17.6% 13.0% 11.7% 7.3% 3.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.1%
Marissa Lihan 10.2% 11.4% 13.8% 11.9% 15.7% 13.1% 12.9% 7.2% 3.2% 0.6%
Marlena Fauer 23.9% 21.6% 19.4% 14.8% 10.3% 5.3% 3.5% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Heather Richardson 1.5% 1.7% 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 7.7% 11.6% 16.3% 22.6% 27.5%
Hillary Paulsen 3.2% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 9.0% 14.1% 17.2% 21.5% 13.3%
Morgan Wilson 18.6% 18.7% 14.8% 16.2% 13.8% 8.0% 6.6% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Caroline Wilhelm 7.4% 12.2% 10.7% 15.1% 13.9% 15.7% 12.5% 7.4% 4.1% 1.0%
Mary Cummins 3.9% 4.7% 6.5% 8.6% 8.2% 13.0% 14.0% 19.0% 14.8% 7.3%
Ryann Hall 5.5% 4.9% 7.2% 8.3% 11.2% 17.0% 13.2% 16.1% 12.0% 4.6%
Julie Webster 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 3.2% 3.9% 3.9% 8.2% 11.3% 20.2% 45.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.