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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.44+1.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+2.67vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.40+1.38vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+2.45vs Predicted
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5University of Washington1.83-0.98vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy1.92-1.87vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.31-1.91vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.98-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-0.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Stanford University2.4427.3%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.6710.8%1st Place
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4.38University of Southern California1.4011.6%1st Place
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6.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.3%1st Place
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4.02University of Washington1.8314.3%1st Place
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4.13California Poly Maritime Academy1.9213.2%1st Place
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5.09University of Hawaii1.319.1%1st Place
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5.02University of California at Berkeley0.988.8%1st Place
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8.36University of California at Los Angeles-0.960.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapman Petersen | 27.3% | 23.0% | 17.4% | 13.5% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 10.8% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 9.5% | 2.2% |
| Luke Harris | 11.6% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 1.4% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 14.3% | 31.6% | 14.4% |
| Benjamin Stone | 14.3% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 13.2% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Everett McAvoy | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 13.5% | 3.1% |
| Will Cornell | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 3.0% |
| Conrad Kistler | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 12.3% | 74.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.