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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.67+6.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.61vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+5.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.63+3.57vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.88+10.03vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+2.40vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.44+1.36vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16+1.87vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.49-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.02vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.43-2.64vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.59vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.32-0.13vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-6.21vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-7.29vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-3.13vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-3.28vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.62-6.27vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-5.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.41Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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6.61College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.57Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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15.03Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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8.36U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.36Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.41U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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12.87Tufts University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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12.87Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.73Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.06Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augie Dale | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Charles Rees | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Sean Golden | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Lily Katz | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 29.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.1% |
| Kate Klement | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 9.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% |
| John Lawless | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 17.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.