← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.73+6.15vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.35vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.43+5.46vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.96vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+2.93vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.63+1.49vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.38+5.89vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University3.41+0.61vs Predicted
-
9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+4.11vs Predicted
-
10Old Dominion University3.67-2.83vs Predicted
-
11University of Wisconsin2.08+3.00vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-4.13vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.16-3.77vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.62-1.96vs Predicted
-
15SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.44vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.47-7.98vs Predicted
-
17Jacksonville University1.88-2.46vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.80-7.03vs Predicted
-
19Tufts University3.49-11.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.15College of Charleston3.730.1%1st Place
-
8.35U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.46Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
10.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
7.49Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
12.89Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.61George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
13.11Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
7.17Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
14.0University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
7.87St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.23Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
12.04Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
13.56SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
8.02Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
14.54Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
-
10.97University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.64Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Davidson | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Marek Zaleski | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% |
| Charles Miller | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Lily Katz | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.5% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% |
| Augie Dale | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% |
| John Lawless | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 16.8% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 15.4% | 25.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.3% |
| John Rolander | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.