← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University3.47+7.25vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University3.16+7.69vs Predicted
-
3Jacksonville University2.15+10.76vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.40vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston3.89+1.74vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College2.14+7.61vs Predicted
-
7Old Dominion University3.67+0.47vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.00vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.43-0.73vs Predicted
-
10Stanford University3.63-2.53vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59-3.35vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-0.57vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University3.41-4.78vs Predicted
-
14University of Wisconsin2.08+0.20vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.38-2.28vs Predicted
-
16Tufts University3.49-8.00vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University2.62-5.11vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-4.53vs Predicted
-
19University of Pennsylvania2.80-8.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.25Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.69Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
13.76Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
-
8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
6.74College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
-
13.61SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
7.47Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.27Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
-
7.47Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
-
7.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
-
11.43U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.22George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
14.2University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
12.72Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.0Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
11.89Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
13.47Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
-
10.77University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Peter Steo | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 18.5% |
| Michael Popp | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Charles Rees | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 15.3% | 16.6% |
| Augie Dale | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Marek Zaleski | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Lily Katz | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Charles Miller | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 19.8% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.7% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 13.1% |
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 13.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.