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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.63+6.68vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.59+5.80vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.89+3.60vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.43+4.44vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+8.73vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin2.08+7.85vs Predicted
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7George Washington University3.41+1.53vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+4.14vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.47-0.98vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-1.84vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-3.35vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14+2.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.18vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-5.77vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University3.67-7.61vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.16-6.51vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.38-4.14vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.80-7.02vs Predicted
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19Jacksonville University2.15-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68Stanford University3.630.1%1st Place
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7.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.590.1%1st Place
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6.6College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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8.44Harvard University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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13.85University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.53George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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12.14Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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8.02Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.16U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.65St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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14.23SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.82U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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8.23Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.39Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.49Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.86Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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13.4Jacksonville University2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lily Katz | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Miller | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Charles Rees | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marek Zaleski | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Frank Reeg | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 14.8% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 20.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.5% |
| Sean Golden | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| John Lawless | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 19.6% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| John Rolander | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Augie Dale | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 11.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Peter Steo | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.