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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+6.27vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+6.06vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.39+3.36vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+1.83vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.87+6.90vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.04+1.50vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.57vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.28+2.33vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-3.93vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.71+2.70vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.91-2.83vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.68+1.05vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-3.14vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.87vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.62vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-7.12vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.46-3.43vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.70-5.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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6.36Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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11.9University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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5.43U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.33George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.07Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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12.7Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.17Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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13.05Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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9.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.38U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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8.88SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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13.57University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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12.52University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Greg Martinez | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% |
| Alp Rodopman | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.2% | 15.0% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Joseph David | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 17.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 20.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.