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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.91+7.35vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.17vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.04+4.83vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+3.87vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+5.06vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.09-1.76vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+4.54vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.28+2.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.44vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+3.64vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.46+2.61vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.15-4.51vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-7.80vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.68-1.50vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-2.35vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.92vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.70-4.13vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.87-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.35Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.17SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.83Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.87Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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4.24College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.42George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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5.56U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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13.64Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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13.61University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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7.49Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.2Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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12.5Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.65Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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12.87University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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11.92University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph David | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Alp Rodopman | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 18.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 20.6% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 21.2% |
| William Marshall | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 11.1% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.