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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+6.35vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+6.02vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+1.26vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+7.32vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.68+7.66vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+6.10vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.53vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+0.04vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.46+3.67vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.51vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.04-4.06vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.70-0.50vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39-4.20vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-2.38vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.28-5.38vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University3.39-10.51vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.69-9.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.35Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.02Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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4.26College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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11.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.66Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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5.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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13.67University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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13.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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7.94Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.5University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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12.62Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.49Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.74SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 17.7% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.1% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 15.2% | 21.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 20.3% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Smith | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| Greg Martinez | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.