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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.19+0.90vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.51+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.90+0.58vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.74+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.08-1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.11-0.84vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.80-0.28vs Predicted
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8Arizona State University-0.39-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles-1.99-0.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Stanford University2.1948.4%1st Place
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4.77University of Hawaii0.517.2%1st Place
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3.58University of Southern California0.9014.3%1st Place
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4.24University of California at Berkeley0.748.3%1st Place
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3.62University of California at Santa Barbara1.0812.2%1st Place
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5.16University of Washington0.115.1%1st Place
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6.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.802.4%1st Place
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6.8Arizona State University-0.391.6%1st Place
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8.19University of California at Los Angeles-1.990.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 48.4% | 27.5% | 14.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martha Schuessler | 7.2% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 6.4% | 1.2% |
| Morgana Manti | 14.3% | 18.1% | 17.7% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 8.3% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 18.7% | 17.6% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Evelyn Engebretson | 12.2% | 17.8% | 21.3% | 17.2% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sammy Farkas | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 9.8% | 2.4% |
| Micaela Jorcino | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 20.4% | 30.4% | 15.2% |
| Sadie Hoberman | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 30.6% | 15.9% |
| Alexandra Toaxen | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 7.8% | 16.9% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.