Race 7A

finger-lakes-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marlena Fauer 27.5% 21.1% 17.4% 12.2% 9.9% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 22.5% 18.3% 18.7% 13.4% 13.1% 8.9% 3.0% 1.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Julie Webster 1.4% 1.5% 2.0% 1.8% 3.5% 5.0% 7.8% 8.5% 21.4% 47.1%
Marissa Lihan 8.3% 12.1% 14.6% 15.0% 14.8% 14.0% 10.9% 6.4% 3.4% 0.5%
Mary Cummins 4.9% 5.8% 5.8% 7.8% 7.8% 12.7% 14.5% 20.2% 13.2% 7.3%
Ryann Hall 5.4% 6.3% 7.2% 9.1% 10.4% 14.8% 14.7% 15.3% 11.3% 5.5%
Morgan Wilson 16.7% 18.5% 16.0% 16.7% 13.4% 8.9% 6.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.0%
Hillary Paulsen 2.4% 4.0% 5.0% 5.3% 6.8% 10.3% 13.0% 21.0% 19.7% 12.5%
Caroline Wilhelm 9.4% 9.7% 10.4% 15.5% 14.8% 13.1% 15.0% 7.4% 3.8% 0.9%
Heather Richardson 1.5% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 5.5% 6.1% 11.3% 15.2% 25.5% 26.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.