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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+7.19vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.96+6.51vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+1.62vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+3.45vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.62vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.13vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.91+1.49vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-1.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-3.46vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+0.71vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.68+2.17vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.07vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.76vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71-1.32vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida1.70-2.89vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.28-5.96vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.46-4.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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8.51Harvard University2.960.0%1st Place
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4.62College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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7.45Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.62Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.87U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.49Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.21St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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5.54Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.17Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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14.07Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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9.24SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.68Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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11.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.11University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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11.04George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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13.64University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alp Rodopman | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Juan Perdomo | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 15.5% | 13.2% | 15.5% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% |
| Greg Martinez | 8.8% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.2% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.6% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 16.1% | 24.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 13.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.