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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.38+5.78vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.28+8.99vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+1.44vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15+3.32vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+3.23vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.87+6.31vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+3.27vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-2.60vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University3.39-2.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.04vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-4.67vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.71+1.13vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.70-0.33vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.08vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-1.47vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.68-3.95vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.46-4.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.99George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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4.44College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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7.32Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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10.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.43Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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5.96U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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13.13Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.67University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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8.92SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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11.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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13.05Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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13.45University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Beatty | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 17.2% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Joseph David | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 10.4% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.4% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.5% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 12.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 14.4% | 17.9% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% |
| Thomas Cooper | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 14.2% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.6% | 17.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.