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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.39+5.68vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+8.45vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+2.49vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+3.94vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.28+5.53vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+7.55vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.87+5.19vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.09-3.72vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-1.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.69-1.88vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-0.07vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.71-0.38vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.46-0.75vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.68-2.19vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.91-7.73vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.70-4.07vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-12.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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13.55Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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4.28College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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7.19Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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5.82U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.12SUNY Maritime College2.690.1%1st Place
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11.93U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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12.62Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.25University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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12.81Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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12.93University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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5.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Martinez | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Connor Swikart | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 3.5% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 19.4% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 17.8% | 19.2% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.7% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 13.1% | 17.4% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 13.2% |
| Joseph David | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 13.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 10.4% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.