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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+7.50vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+6.18vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+1.59vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.52vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.39+1.68vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.91+2.58vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.32vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+2.40vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.87+3.48vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-3.45vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin1.46+2.92vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.85vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.15-5.54vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47-0.49vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.70-1.96vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.28-4.95vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.68-3.70vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-6.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.18Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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4.59College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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5.52Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.68Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.32SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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10.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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12.48University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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6.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.46Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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13.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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13.04University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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11.05George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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13.3Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Alp Rodopman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 14.0% | 17.4% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.0% | 12.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Greg Martinez | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Keen Butcher | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 8.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 24.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 16.0% | 19.1% |
| Cameron Smith | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 13.4% | 14.4% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 15.4% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.