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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+3.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+3.71vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15+4.63vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.46+9.54vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.71+7.78vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.30vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+2.19vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+0.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.28+1.84vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.39-3.21vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.47+2.78vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.96-3.47vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.87-0.86vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.70-1.39vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.68-2.06vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.19vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.63-11.09vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.04-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58College of Charleston4.090.2%1st Place
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5.71Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.63Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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13.54University of Wisconsin1.460.0%1st Place
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12.78Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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6.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.19SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.84George Washington University2.280.0%1st Place
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6.79Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
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13.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.470.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania1.870.0%1st Place
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12.61University of South Florida1.700.0%1st Place
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12.94Fordham University1.680.0%1st Place
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11.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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5.91U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 16.5% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 18.9% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 13.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Joseph David | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Colin Kennedy | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Greg Martinez | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Brego | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 21.3% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Keen Butcher | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Cameron Smith | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.1% |
| Thomas Cooper | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 11.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alp Rodopman | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.